The Markets are in a Suspended Animation Perpetuating a Denial of Reality

This prolonged bull market is in itself unusual given it’s longevity and precipitously highly debt issuance. It is in denial of an over leveraged, disproportionate economy. And this was all preceding a world wide pandemic. The growth of the last decade has been anemic at best. The Fed was taking extraordinary measures last year to quell the 10% spike in short term repo market rates, among other measures to support an economy still in recovery more than 10 years later. All pointing to signs of an overdue recession, which I had been calling for sometime, but finally vindicated with it’s February 2020 arrival.

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